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publications
Individual-based model of juvenile eel movement parametrized with computational fluid dynamics-derived flow fields informs improved fish pass design
Published in Royal Society open science, 2020
We assessed the passage efficiency of eel passes using de novo cellular automata and individual-based. We quantified the relationship between passage efficiency (proportion of passage attempts that are successful), flow rate, and passage inclination; highlighting the need for shallower inclinations to facilitate the passage of younger eels.
Download here
Development and application of individual-based models for predicting upstream passage of European fish [Thesis]
Published in WhiteRose eTheses Online, 2021
My PhD thesis was on the development of cellular automata and agent-based models to assess fish passage using computational fluid dynamics.
Download here
Modelling COVID-19 Vaccination in the UK: Impact of the Autumn 2022 and Spring 2023 Booster Campaigns
Published in Infectious Diseases and Therapy, 2024
We adapted an age-, immunity- and risk-stratified SEIR model to assess the impact of booster vaccination on COVID-19-induced hospitalisations, mortality, bed days, and productivity.
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Antimicrobial Resistance Trends, Predictors, and Burden in England: A retrospective study using the Clinical Practice Research Datalink from 2015-2021
Published in International Journal of Antimicrobial Agents, 2025
We described the burden of antimicrobial resistance to healthcare systems based on a retrospective cohort study using UK healthcare data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink.
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NHS 10 year plan: Can using AI offer a solution to the NHS’ problems?
Published in BMJ, 2025
This is an opinion piece for the BMJ relating to the use of AI within the UK government’s 10 year plan for the NHS.
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The evolving burden of obesity in the US: a novel population-level system dynamics approach
Published in Journal of Medical Economics, 2025
We predict how the age and BMI of the US population will evolve over time and use this prediction to estimate the associated burden of obesity over time.
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talks
Modelling COVID-19 vaccination in the UK - Impact of the Autumn 2022 and Spring 2023 booster campaigns
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This work aligns with our paper on assessing the impact of Covid boosters, which can be found here.
The value of guideline-recommended management of type 2 diabetes: a novel population-level system dynamics approach
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This study estimated the system-level impact of adopting a holistic approach to T2D management in-line with contemporary international guidelines.
Excess body weight contributes to a premature health economic aging of 8.3 years, equivalent to an additional annual health expenditure of $306B: Results of a US population study
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This study evaluates the population-level effects of excess body weight on US healthcare expenditure via quantification of health economic aging across the population.
Assessing the value of managing diabetic kidney disease from a US healthcare perspective
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This study estimates the economic value of attenuating the rate of decline of eGFR to limit DKD progression.
Targeted Interventions in Obesity: A Novel Population-level System Dynamics Approach
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This study estimates the population-level burden of adult obesity in the US. We quantified the value of early vs. late intervention in obesity from a total system perspective, exploring effects on a variety of outcomes.
The prevalence of multi-comorbid patients in the US: highlighting the need for multi-indication value assessments
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This study estimates the population-level prevalence of seven interrelated diseases within the US, describes the substantial overlap between these diseases, and quantifies the prevalence of multi-comorbid patients.
Use of metamodels in health economics to bypass complexity and democratize modelling
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This study outlines the potential usage of neural-network-based metamodels within health economics.
System dynamics facilitate complex decision-making for healthcare delivery: A case study of chronic kidney disease in Wales
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We predicted the future prevalence of CKD in Wales, with a focus on ESKD and its treatment modalities.
The effect of an ageing population on secondary care resource usage in the UK
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We demonstrate how the UK has aged and how it will continue to age, and predict how this ageing will affect demand for healthcare.
teaching
Teaching experience 1
Undergraduate course, University 1, Department, 2014
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Teaching experience 2
Workshop, University 1, Department, 2015
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